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Prediction markets
8 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$618K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
61 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.62M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
60 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
96%
5 more
$899K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
31%
chance
Yes
No
$220K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$82
45 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
46%
20-40
43%
3 more
$128K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$54
51 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
34%
chance
Yes
No
$19K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
47 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
42%
November
14%
5 more
$42K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
41 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
68%
100-124
17%
3 more
$5.1K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
35 trading now
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