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Prediction markets

12 active markets · category “Science”

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang93%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman91%9 more
$596KVol. Jul 30science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest84%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest10%2 more
$14KVol. Jul 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$118KVol. Mar 31science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

450-475mm
450-475mm27%
575-600mm24%8 more
$2.8KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3159%
December 31
December 3153%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

60-70mm
60-70mm44%
30-40mm
30-40mm41%5 more
$1.9KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+93%
90-100mm4%6 more
$5.5KVol. Jul 31science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"33%
3-4"
3-4"24%4 more
$1.1KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10051%
100–12930%7 more
$1.2KVol. Aug 1science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC69%
1.25–1.29ºC28%4 more
$2.3KVol. Aug 1science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

77%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science